Review of our 10 Technology Predictions for 2013

At the start of the year we made our ten technology predictions for 2013. In this post we are going to review these predictions.

Business Cloud Computing

Our 2013 prediction:

Business cloud computing will finally enter the mainstream. No longer will small business owners want their own server instead they will start to think 'Cloud First'. Many IT support providers will struggle to adapt to this new world.

Outcome:

We found that a lot more business owners were open to the idea of a cloud service over a traditional on site server and now asked about the Cloud. We even came across some business owners with a "Cloud First" approach to refreshing their technology. It was not until the later part of 2013 that we met with business owners weighing up a traditional Microsoft Office solutions and a Google Apps solutions. Each time Google Apps came out on top and the client decided to work with Kimbley IT.

First Motorola Nexus device

Our 2013 prediction:

The first Motorola built Nexus device will be announced at Google I/O.

Outcome:

While Motorola did release the Moto X (their first new design phone since Google purchased Motorola) no Motorola Nexus Device was announced. The X phone is as close to a Nexus device possible without having the official "Nexus" title. Instead Google released the Nexus 5 by LG but this was not announced at Google I/O.

Start button and boot to desktop return in Windows

Our 2013 prediction:

The 'Start Button' and 'Boot To Desktop' functionality will be included in Windows 8 Service Pack One.

Outcome:

This prediction caused a lot of feedback when we made it. With many Microsoft consultants disagreeing. Both the Start Button and Boot To Desktop where included in the Windows 8.1 update.

Google Apps will gain more market share

Our 2013 prediction:

Google Apps will continue to take more market share from Microsoft Office.

Outcome:

According to Gartner Google Apps is making inroads on Microsoft Office. However there are no figures yet for 2013. 

Back in April 2013 Gartner found that Google's cloud-based productivity suite is gaining on Microsoft's market share. In terms of user numbers, Google Apps had about 10 percent of the cloud-office market in 2007, 20 percent in 2009, and between 33 percent and 50 percent in 2012, according to Gartner's analysis.

Based on the above you would have to assume Google Apps has taken more marketshare.

Crowdfunding will grow

Our 2013 prediction:

Crowd-funding such as Kickstarter will grow with a lot more gadgets being crowd-funded rather than funded by angel investors.

Outcome:

This was a no-brainer, but we had to make sure one of our predictions would be correct!

Blackberry will launch Blackberry 10 Smartphone

Our 2013 prediction:

Blackberry will launch the Blackberry 10 smartphone. It will sink quicker than Windows Phone.

Outcome:

Spot on!

Private app stores will become more common

Our 2013 prediction:

Private app stores will become more common. Business will use these to deliver customised applications to employees devices. Which just so happens to be a service we already offer.

We have not really seen much growth in private apps stores in the small business environment. However we are sure it is coming. Maybe 2014?

The next generation games consoles will be announced

Our 2013 prediction:

The next generation of games consoles will finally be announced. Nintendo's struggle to compete with Microsoft and Sony will continue.

Outcome:

Can you believe at the start of 2013 no one knew if 2013 would be the year of the next gen consoles. While both Microsoft and Sony released consoles. They went in different directions. Sony released the PlayStation 4 which is nothing but a gaming device. While Microsoft released the Xbox One which is more of an entertainment device that happens to play games. While a once great gaming company Nintendo still struggle to compete. We suspect Nintendo could be following in Sega's footprints.

Leap Motion will announce manufacturing deal

Our 2013 prediction:

Touch screen laptops and desktops will increase however sometime in 2013 Leap Motion will announce a manufacturing deal for their touchless touch screens which will mark the end for touchable touch screens on consumer products.

Outcome:

While touch screen laptops and desktops have increased we doubt many actually use the touchscreen feature. Leap Motion wowed the tech world at the end of 2013 with their touchless touch screen device. Naturally, the devices did go into production but rather than being built into laptops as we expected it comes as a peripheral that is plugged in. We expect to see laptops with the sensor built in but the hype around the product seems to have disappeared.

Dumb Terminals will start to return to the workplace

Our 2013 prediction:

Modern day 'Dumb Terminals' will start to return to the workplace as cloud adoption increases.

Outcome:

We have seen a big increase in Chromebook deployments with a number of clients running these devices. While many Schools have opted to move from tablets to Chromebooks. We expect to see this trend continue.  

James Kimbley